Ma`rifat-e Farhangi Ejtemai, Volume 4, Issue 1, No 13, Year 2025 , Pages 81-100

    T The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth, with Emphasis on State's Expenses on Different Age Groups of Population

    Article Type: 
    Research
    Writers:
    Seyed jamalodin Muhseni Zonoozi / Associate professor of Urmia University / jmzonouzi@yahoo.com
    Hasan Heydari / MA student of Urmia University / h.heidari@urmia.ac.ir
    Raana / Assistant professor of Urmia University / asghari.rana@gmail.com
    Pages: 81-100 Receive Date: 2025/04/03 Accept Date: 2025/04/03
    dor 100
    Abstract: 
    The present paper examines the short and long term relationship between the growth in the percentage of different age groups of population and economic growth in a dynamic model of Iran's economy. Therefore, bound test procedure is used to examine the existence of long term relationship, and autoregressive distributed lag model and error checking model are used to estimate the long term and short term coefficients of examined models, respectively. The results obtained from the analysis of relationships and significance of coefficients indicate that there is a positive and significant relationship between the percentage growth of population- the group ranging from 15 to 64 years old- and economic growth in Iran.
    Keywords: 
    population growth
    economic growth
    bound test procedure
    autoregressive distributed lag model
    error checking model
    چکیده و کلیدواژه فارسی (Persian)
    Title :ارتباط میان رشد جمعیت و رشد اقتصادی با تأکید بر مخارج دولت بر گروه‌های سنی گوناگون جمعیت
    Abstract: 
    اين نوشتار به بررسي ارتباط کوتاه‌مدت و بلندمدت ميان رشد درصد گروه‌هاي سني مختلف جمعيت و رشد اقتصادي در مدلي پويا از اقتصاد ايران مي‌پردازد؛ از همين‌رو، از رهيافت آزمون کرانه‌ها (Bound test) براي بررسي وجود ارتباط بلند‌مدت و نيز از الگوي خود‌رگرسيوني با وقفه¬هاي توزيعي(ARDL) و نيز مدل تصحيح خطا (ECM) به‌ترتيب، براي تخمين ضرايب بلندمدت و کوتاه‌مدت مدل‌هاي مورد بررسي، استفاده شده است. نتايج به‌دست‌آمده از تحليل روابط و ضرايب معناداري در مدل‌ها بيانگر وجود ارتباط مثبت و معنادار ميان رشد درصد جمعيت با بازة سني 15 تا 64 سال و رشد اقتصادي در ايران است.
    Keywords: 
    كليد‌واژه‌ها: رشد جمعيت، رشد اقتصادي، رهيافت آزمون کرانه¬ها، الگوي خود‌رگرسيوني با وقفه‌هاي توزيعي، مدل تصحيح خطا.
    References: 
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    Muhseni Zonoozi, Seyed jamalodin, Heydari, Hasan, , Raana.(2025) T The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth, with Emphasis on State's Expenses on Different Age Groups of Population. Ma`rifat-e Farhangi Ejtemai, 4(1), 81-100

    APA | MLA | HARVARD | VANCOUVER

    Seyed jamalodin Muhseni Zonoozi; Hasan Heydari; Raana ."T The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth, with Emphasis on State's Expenses on Different Age Groups of Population". Ma`rifat-e Farhangi Ejtemai, 4, 1, 2025, 81-100

    APA | MLA | HARVARD | VANCOUVER

    Muhseni Zonoozi, S, Heydari, H, , R.(2025) 'T The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth, with Emphasis on State's Expenses on Different Age Groups of Population', Ma`rifat-e Farhangi Ejtemai, 4(1), pp. 81-100

    APA | MLA | HARVARD | VANCOUVER

    Muhseni Zonoozi, S, Heydari, H, , R. T The Relationship between Population Growth and Economic Growth, with Emphasis on State's Expenses on Different Age Groups of Population. Ma`rifat-e Farhangi Ejtemai, 2025; 4(1): 81-100